FNUS72 KMFL 221333
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SC4...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
833 AM EST WED FEB 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE LIGHT WINDS
AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM RAPIDLY DURING THE MID AND LATE MORNING HOURS, PEAKING IN
THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO
NEAR 45 PERCENT BY MID AFTERNOON. AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES, AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL VEER FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTH
SOUTHWEST BY THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON AND WILL BE SOUTHWEST ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........45     45     45     45     45     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75     80     82     82     78     71
RH..............61     50     46     49     64     71
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 5    S 5    S 5    SW 5   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   4000   4000   3500   3500   1900
MIXNG WIND......S 7    S 10   S 10   S 9    SW 9   SW 6
DISPERSION IDX..23     52     52     41     41     3
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      7      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE EVENING.
                    AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 51 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120222.BCSC4.01/MFL