FNUS72 KMHX 221417 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLSTON CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 917 AM EST WED FEB 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER TODAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 30 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................64 67 66 RH..................54 50 54 20 FT WIND..........SW 8 SW 9 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 20 LVORI...............1 1 1 ADI.................76 58 51 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............33 37 54 71 75 75 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................63 60 57 56 55 54 RH..................62 72 80 83 86 90 20 FT WIND..........S 10 S 10 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 4 ADI.................34 33 37 32 33 34 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............75 70 59 48 46 47 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 56 64 69 72 71 RH..................90 83 65 57 53 55 20 FT WIND..........SW 10 SW 10 W 11 W 12 SW 12 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 25 25 20 LVORI...............4 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................33 30 40 73 67 54 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...GLENN REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120222.HOLST.01/MHX