FNUS73 KSGF 221013 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR CARMEN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 413 AM CST WED FEB 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE AND GRADUALLY VEER AROUND TO WESTERLY BY THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 MPH. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL GUST AS HIGH AS 25 MPH FROM NOON THROUGH 4 PM. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE JUST BELOW 25 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AROUND MID AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY...WITH BRISK AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION... OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 39 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC MC MC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............54 59 63 64 65 65 62 59 RH..............46 38 31 28 26 24 28 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 10 10 11 11 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 25 25 25 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.8 4.9 3.9 2.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.29 32 35 37 38 39 39 39 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 46. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 66 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 52 51 51 50 47 RH..............37 44 50 54 58 63 20 FT WIND......W 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 67. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 36 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........TO NORTHWEST AROUND MID AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 52 60 65 64 59 RH..............67 55 44 37 37 42 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 W 9 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 20 25 MIX HGT (FT)....100 BLW100 1500 4000 4600 4400 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 W 15 W 14 W 15 W 20 NW 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...SCHAUMANN REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120222.CARME.01/SGF