FNUS74 KCRP 232138 FWSCRP SPOT FORECAST FOR CRANE UNIT C-10...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 338 PM CST THU FEB 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING AT IGNITION TIME IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY BY LATE IN THE DAY. A SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AIRMASS WILL POUR INTO THE REGION FRIDAY ON THE STRONG NORTH WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 45 TO 50 PERCENT AT IGNITION TIME BUT WILL QUICKLY FALL TO AROUND 30 TO 35 PERCENT BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND IGNITION TIME MAY BE LOWER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST IF THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH FASTER. THE COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIRMASS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS HAS RESULTED IN A RED FLAG WARNING BEING ISSUED FOR THE BURN AREA /AND SOUTH TEXAS/ TOMORROW. CLOUDY SKIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE DAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE THOUGH THE GREATEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SUSTAINED WINDS NORTH AT 25 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. CWR.................30 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200-3900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 33 TO 40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200-3900 FT AGL. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 58 60 62 63 62 RH..............68 56 45 37 34 36 20 FT WIND......NNE 21 NNE 22 NNE 25 NNE 22 NNE 20 NNE 17 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..NNE 16 NNE 17 NNE 18 NNE 17 NNE 15 NNE 14 EYELVL WND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2400 2800 3600 3800 3800 TRANSPORT WIND..NNE 37 NNE 40 NNE 40 NNE 39 NNE 38 NNE 36 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2400 2800 3600 3800 3800 POP.............30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...HART REQUESTED BY...JEFF ADAMS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120223.CRANE.01/CRP