FNUS75 KGJT 221746
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAP CREEK PILES...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1046 AM MST WED FEB 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BRISK COLD FRONT WILL BE PASSING OVER THE BURN
SITE AT IGNITION TIME ON THURSDAY. EXPECT GUSTY NW WINDS AND
INSTABILITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PRODUCING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
AND DEEP MIXING. THE MIXING WILL COLLAPSE AROUND SUNSET. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY BRINGING WARM AIR ALOFT
OVER THE REGION AND PRODUCING STABLE POOR MIXING CONDITIONS.

.THURSDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 35000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...ROSS OXFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120223.SOAPC.01/GJT