FNUS72 KILM 231557 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SANDY ISLAND NORTH END...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1057 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON FEBRUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OFFSHORE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING WARMTH AND MOISTURE THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SOME GUSTY SHOWERS AND STORMS ON FRIDAY BUT NOT MUCH RAINFALL. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. A RETURN OF MILD WEATHER IS SLATED FOR THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. BROTAK WIND PROFILE WILL EXIST TODAY. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH OF A SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST FLOW SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP ANY SEA BREEZE THAT DOES DEVELOP CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-5800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 24 MPH LATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (74405-117184 MPH-FT) DECREASING TO GOOD (55889 MPH-FT) LATE. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............41 57 49 43 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................68 73 75 75 RH..................81 65 57 59 20 FT WIND..........SW 15 SW 16 SW 17 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 25 20 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...42 99 117 80 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2415-35190 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............39 38 43 48 52 66 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................72 69 67 66 65 64 RH..................64 71 78 83 87 90 20 FT WIND..........S 9 S 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 11 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 20 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...32 5 3 12 21 30 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 31 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (42320-91195 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (93380-118679 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............81 84 86 88 88 88 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................64 63 70 71 71 71 RH..................91 89 69 64 59 52 20 FT WIND..........SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 W 10 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 20 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...42 62 91 115 118 102 $$ FORECASTER...III REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120223.SANDY.01/ILM