FNUS72 KJAX 231104
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CECIL SCHOOL BURN...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
604 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AS A WARM
FRONT SLOWLY SHIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
BE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH TODAY AND FRIDAY.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 17
                    TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 30
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....69.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........93     88     79     70     65     61
WEATHER COV.....                     ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............66     71     75     78     81     77
RH..............98     84     73     67     60     66
20 FT WIND......SW 10  SW 13  SW 15  SW 17  SW 18  SW 17
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     30     35     35
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   1900   2700   3500   2800   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16  SW 21  SW 25  SW 30  SW 26  SW 23
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FEET AGL EARLY...LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 28
                    TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....68.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120223.CECIL.01/JAX