FNUS72 KJAX 231248
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KERR ISLAND COMP-37...USFS OCALA NATL. FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
748 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AS A
WARM FRONT SLOWLY SHIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH BOTH TODAY
AND FRIDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

TIMING OF MAXIMUM WIND GUST THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE WHEN THE TEMPS
REACH THE LOWER 80S WHICH SHOULD BE BETWEEN 1 PM AND 4 PM.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTS UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH INCREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........79     71     63     60
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............74     78     81     81
RH..............80     71     61     58
20 FT WIND......SW 14  SW 16  SW 17  SW 17
20 FT WIND GUST.15     25     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   3400   3400   2600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21  SW 25  SW 25  SW 22

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........57     59     64     69     68     63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............76     71     68     67     66     66
RH..............68     78     87     90     92     92
20 FT WIND......SW 12  SW 9   SW 8   SW 7   S 7    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.25     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   1200   900    600    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18  SW 16  SW 14  SW 12  SW 12  SW 13

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....81.

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...JARED NOBLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120223.KERRI.01/JAX