FNUS73 KLSX 231417
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR VOGT GLADE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
817 AM CST THU FEB 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BE SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST
DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY
BY MID AND LATE AFTERNOON AS THE WIND BECOMES WESTERLY.  STRONG WEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  RAIN MENTIONED
IN NARRATIVE OF FIRE WEATHER FORECAST WAS FOR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA...PROBABILITY OF RAIN IN YOUR AREA LISTED AS 10 PERCENT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 2-3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 6 TO 8 MPH DURING MID AND LATE
                    MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH
                    AROUND MIDDAY...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH DURING MID AFTERNOON INCREASING
                    TO 14 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (17345 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WINDY. NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                    37 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND 4 TO 5 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WIND 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 30 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 32 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (29851 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WOODS  DFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120223.VOGTG.01/LSX