FNUS72 KMFL 231301
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOBLES PILE...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
801 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 EST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF AREA WILL PROVIDE A WARMER BUT DRY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW TODAY. PATCHES OF MORNING FOG WILL BURN OFF BY
IGNITION TIME, WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES REST OF TODAY. SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10-12 MPH TODAY WITH
SLIGHTLY HIGHER TRANSPORT WINDS, YIELDING MAX AFTERNOON DISPERSION
IN THE GOOD TO BORDERLINE VERY GOOD RANGE. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 50 PERCENT BUT COULD DROP TO AROUND
45 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.

SIMILAR PATTERN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG
ONCE AGAIN DEVELOPING.

NOTE: WE HAVE NOT RECEIVED AN OBSERVATION FROM MILES CITY SINCE 7
PM YESTERDAY. USING SURROUNDING SITES FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS WHICH
SHOULD BE REPRESENTATIVE OF CONDITIONS AT THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 3 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 52 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........31     31     24     24     24     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............79     84     85     84     79     74
RH..............67     55     51     55     74     84
20 FT WIND......S 6    SW 8   SW 8   SW 6   SW 6   SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   4000   4000   4000   4000   2200
MIXNG WIND......S 14   SW 15  SW 15  SW 13  SW 13  SW 8
DISPERSION IDX..48     56     56     48     48     4
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 2 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............10.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 3 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 12 TO
                    17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 70 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...MOLLEDA
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120223.NOBLE.01/MFL