FNUS72 KMFL 241517 RRA
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOBLES PILE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1000 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 EST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ANY FOG OVER THE BURN SITE SHOULD BE GONE AROUND 10:30 AM EST THIS
MORNING. THE SURFACE WINDS WILL BE 10 TO 15 MPH FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TODAY WITH THE TRANSPORT WINDS AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE MID 40S WITH THE
DISPERSION INDEX IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. THE WEATHER WILL
ALSO REMAIN DRY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN SITE.

THE WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE TO LESS THAN 5 MPH TONIGHT FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BEFORE SWINGING TO A NORTHWEST DIRECTION AROUND SUNRISE
SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE BURN SITE. THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 100 PERCENT TONIGHT ALLOWING FOR
PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG FORMATION OVER THE BURN SITE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. THE DISPERSION INDEX WILL ALSO FALL DOWN TO LESS THAN 5
TONIGHT OVER THE BURN SITE WHICH IS IN THE VERY POOR RANGE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG UNTIL 10:30 AM EST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 31 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 70 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 54.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......MISSING.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     25     25     30     30
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70     65     78     85     87     86
RH..............84     87     57     46     43     44
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 3    S 7    S 7    SW 8   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....700    2100   3500   3500   4500   4000
MIXNG WIND......S 7    S 12   S 16   S 16   SW 17  SW 15
DISPERSION IDX..3      31     56     56     70     54
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).M      M      M      M      M      M

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 2 TO
                    5 MPH TOWARDS MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....54 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 12
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 12 TO
                    21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 50.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120223.NOBLE.01/MFL