FNUS72 KMLB 241125
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NO GO FIRE...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
625 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2350 EST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD MORNING. STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
REDEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS AS SURFACE HEATING
MIXES STRONGER WINDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE. ALTHOUGH RH VALUES WILL
NOT REACH CRITICAL VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF MUCH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S...VERY GOOD DISPERSION...AND
MINIMUM RH VALUES BETWEEN 40 AND 45 PERCENT WILL CAUSE CONTROL
PROBLEMS WITH ANY NEW OR EXISTING FIRES.

FORTUNATELY...THE WIND DIRECTION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY WITH LITTLE VARIABILITY.

TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE BURN SITE OVERNIGHT AND THE
WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. IT COULD BE QUITE GUSTY
FOR A COUPLE HOURS IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT. THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL REMAIN WELL MIXED WITH VERY GOOD NIGHTTIME DISPERSION
AND LOW LVORI.

-KELLY


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....72.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TEMP............64  63  67  71  75  77  80  82  83  84  84  81
RH..............93  97  87  79  71  64  58  53  51  49  48  54
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   9   13  16  17  17  17  18  18  18  16
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  15  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800-2300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 29 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 16
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
LVORI...............3.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120223.NOGOF.02/MLB