FNUS73 KPAH 232253 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF MOUNTAIN 3-4...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 453 PM CST THU FEB 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT. A BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE HEARTLAND FRIDAY NIGHT. A PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER PRESSURES OVER THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD WILL RESULT IN BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY. THE WEEKEND WILL ALSO BE DRY...AND WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN ON SUNDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE. THE FIRST ROBUST CHANCE OF RAINFALL WILL BE ON TUESDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE LOWEST HUMIDITIES OF THE NEAR TERM BUT WITH LIGHTER WINDS THAN FRIDAY OR SATURDAY. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 48. RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3600-5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200-8600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 36 TO 44 MPH DECREASING TO 31 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 10A 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 45 46 46 48 47 45 44 44 RH..............47 45 42 40 37 34 36 50 45 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 9 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 12 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 6.0 6.5 7.1 7.7 8.2 8.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.33 32 32 31 32 32 32 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29. RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8100-9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 31 TO 36 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 38 36 34 33 31 RH..............46 52 58 62 64 68 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 6 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....8900 9200 9000 8100 6000 3600 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 33 NW 35 NW 36 NW 36 NW 35 NW 32 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49. RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............30 36 45 49 RH..............65 53 32 28 20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 6G10 NW 5G10 W 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 2900 4900 5500 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 29 NW 21 NW 13 W 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...KEITH P KELLEY FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120224.WOLFM.01/PAH