FNUS74 KBMX 261452 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR QUAIL 12...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 852 AM CST SUN FEB 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE ALABAMA COAST WILL BRING HIGH CLOUDS TO SOUTH ALABAMA THIS MORNING. THE CLOUDS WILL CLEAR BY THE AFTERNOON AND THE SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST. A DRY AIR MASS OVER THE AREA WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TO NEAR 25 PERCENT ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON... BUT NOT STAY LONG ENOUGH AT 25 PERCENT OR BELOW FOR A RED FLAG WARNING. CLOUDS AND MOISTURE VALUES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. LARGE LOCAL VARIABLILITY EXPECTED WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS TODAY. IT APPEARS THAT SOME DRYING WILL TAKE PLACE NORTH AND THE NEW NUMBERS INDICATE CONDITIONS CLOSER TO RED FLAG CRITERIA. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT BETWEEN 11 AND NOON AND THEN STAY BETWEEN 20-25 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. WILL WATCH CLOSELY FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO DETERMINE IF A WATCH OR WARNING BECOMES NECESSARY. .TODAY... TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 51 57 58 55 RH..............44 34 25 25 30 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 3 SE 5 SE 5 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 4200 5100 5000 4400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 SE 15 S 13 S 13 S 13 DISPERSION......7 74 74 73 66 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 46 42 42 42 42 RH..............32 49 60 62 64 65 20 FT WIND......SE 2 E 1 E 1 E 1 E 1 E 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 3100 2400 1800 1100 800 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 17 SE 16 SE 12 SE 8 E 6 DISPERSION......66 69 49 5 4 3 .MONDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 46 52 59 62 59 RH..............67 65 59 47 43 47 20 FT WIND......NE 1 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 3 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1300 2400 4000 4500 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 3 E 5 N 7 N 7 NE 5 DISPERSION......3 2 2 33 36 22 $$ FORECASTER...LINHARES REQUESTED BY...JSMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120226.QUAIL.01/BMX