FNUS75 KBOU 261950 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1241 PM MST SUN FEB 26 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER COLORADO. STRONG WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....22-24. MIN HUMIDITY........20-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40-60 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL 2200 THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....9-12. MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1600. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-35. MIN HUMIDITY........37-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 4200-5200 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/26-12 23 5 1 22 32 W25 40 3 1 W100 6137 W59 312794 E 02/26-13 23 5 1 23 32 W23 37 3 1 W93 6007 W58 298405 E 02/26-14 23 5 1 23 32 W21 33 4 1 W86 5876 W55 284015 E 02/26-15 23 5 1 23 32 W18 30 4 1 W81 5397 W51 241118 E 02/26-16 23 5 1 22 33 W16 25 4 1 W74 4918 W45 198221 E 02/26-17 29 1 0 20 35 W14 22 4 1 W68 4439 W40 155324 E 02/26-18 29 1 0 18 37 W13 20 4 1 W62 3482 W33 112838 V 02/26-19 29 1 0 16 39 W12 18 4 1 W56 2524 W28 70352 G 02/26-20 29 1 0 14 41 W10 16 4 1 W52 1567 W21 27866 P 02/26-21 29 1 0 12 40 SW 9 14 4 1 W49 1178 W17 19689 P 02/26-22 29 1 0 11 40 SW 7 7 4 1 W47 790 SW13 11513 P 02/26-23 44 2 0 10 42 SW 6 6 4 1 W46 401 SW 9 3337 P 02/27-00 44 2 0 9 54 SW 6 6 4 1 W45 319 SW 9 2586 P 02/27-01 44 2 0 8 71 SW 6 6 4 1 W45 236 SW 8 1836 P 02/27-02 44 2 0 8 89 SW 6 6 4 1 W46 153 S 8 1085 P 02/27-03 44 2 0 7 93 SW 6 6 3 1 W47 140 SW 9 1087 P 02/27-04 44 2 0 8 88 SW 7 7 3 1 W48 127 SW10 1089 P 02/27-05 52 10 2 7 86 SW 7 7 2 1 W48 114 SW12 1091 P 02/27-06 52 10 2 7 88 SW 7 7 2 1 W48 133 SW12 1294 P 02/27-07 52 10 2 6 93 SW 7 7 2 1 SW47 151 SW12 1497 P 02/27-08 52 10 2 10 81 SW 7 7 2 1 SW45 169 SW12 1701 P 02/27-09 52 10 2 16 69 SW 8 13 2 1 SW46 807 SW18 20269 P 02/27-10 52 10 2 21 61 SW 9 15 2 1 SW47 1445 SW25 38682 P 02/27-11 63 18 4 26 54 SW10 16 2 1 SW49 2082 SW31 57096 F 02/27-12 63 18 4 31 46 SW10 16 2 1 SW53 3162 SW33 97764 G 02/27-13 63 18 4 35 41 SW 9 15 2 1 SW56 4241 SW37 138432 V 02/27-14 63 18 4 35 41 SW 8 13 2 1 SW59 5320 SW39 179100 E 02/27-15 63 18 4 34 44 S 7 7 2 1 SW58 4868 SW33 146999 V 02/27-16 63 18 4 34 45 S 6 6 2 1 SW56 4415 SW29 114897 V 02/27-17 82 49 25 32 48 S 5 5 2 1 SW55 3962 SW24 82795 G 02/27-18 82 49 25 30 50 S 5 5 2 1 SW59 2956 SW21 59211 F 02/27-19 82 49 25 27 54 SW 5 5 2 1 SW62 1949 SW17 35628 P 02/27-20 82 49 25 26 55 SW 6 6 2 1 SW63 943 SW15 12045 P 02/27-21 82 49 25 25 56 SW 7 7 2 1 SW58 732 SW15 9411 P 02/27-22 82 49 25 23 59 SW 8 13 3 1 S49 520 SW15 6777 P 02/27-23 78 57 33 22 61 W 9 15 3 1 S43 309 SW15 4143 P 02/28-00 78 57 33 21 64 W10 16 3 1 S40 752 SW20 16514 P 02/28-01 78 57 33 19 70 W12 18 2 1 S40 1195 SW24 28885 P 02/28-02 78 57 33 20 67 W13 21 2 1 S39 1638 W29 41256 F 02/28-03 78 57 33 19 71 W14 22 2 1 S37 2266 W31 64198 G 02/28-04 78 57 33 18 73 W15 23 2 1 S33 2895 W33 87140 G 02/28-05 61 49 25 18 72 W16 25 2 1 S30 3523 W36 110083 V 02/28-06 61 49 25 18 69 W18 29 2 1 S28 3949 W40 141671 V 02/28-07 61 49 25 17 67 W21 33 2 1 S25 4375 W45 173259 E 02/28-08 61 49 25 18 60 W23 37 2 1 S25 4801 W49 204847 E 02/28-09 61 49 25 20 56 W24 39 2 1 SW24 5664 W53 266547 E 02/28-10 61 49 25 22 53 W25 41 2 1 W26 6527 W56 328247 E 02/28-11 62 32 11 23 50 W26 43 2 1 W31 7390 W61 389947 E 02/28-12 62 32 11 25 47 W28 44 2 1 W44 8095 W66 463663 E 02/28-13 62 32 11 26 44 W28 45 2 1 W59 8800 W69 537380 E 02/28-14 62 32 11 26 43 W29 46 2 1 W70 9506 W74 611097 E 02/28-15 62 32 11 25 44 W30 48 2 1 W70 8931 W73 562708 E 02/28-16 62 32 11 25 44 W31 49 2 1 NW66 8357 W70 514318 E 02/28-17 51 26 6 24 45 W31 49 2 1 NW62 7782 W69 465929 E 02/28-18 51 26 6 23 46 W30 47 2 1 NW61 6946 W69 417161 E 02/28-19 51 26 6 21 48 W26 43 2 1 NW61 6110 W69 368392 E 02/28-20 51 26 6 20 48 W24 39 2 1 NW63 5273 W70 319624 E 02/28-21 51 26 6 20 48 W22 36 2 1 NW69 5073 W69 305970 E 02/28-22 51 26 6 19 50 W21 33 2 1 NW76 4873 W69 292316 E 02/28-23 38 19 4 17 51 W20 31 2 1 NW79 4673 W69 278662 E 02/29-00 38 19 4 17 51 W20 30 2 1 NW75 4324 W68 256865 E 02/29-01 38 19 4 17 52 W20 30 3 1 NW69 3974 W68 235068 E 02/29-02 38 19 4 17 51 W20 31 3 1 NW62 3625 W68 213270 E 02/29-03 38 19 4 16 51 W21 33 3 1 NW60 3271 W63 181944 E 02/29-04 38 19 4 16 51 W22 36 2 1 NW60 2916 W59 150617 E 02/29-05 31 10 2 16 51 W23 37 2 1 NW59 2561 W54 119290 V 02/29-06 31 10 2 16 52 W23 37 1 02/29-07 31 10 2 15 55 W22 36 1 02/29-08 31 10 2 17 53 W22 35 1 02/29-09 31 10 2 20 50 W20 32 1 02/29-10 31 10 2 23 47 W18 30 1 02/29-11 38 7 1 25 45 W17 28 1 02/29-12 38 7 1 28 41 W16 26 1 02/29-13 38 7 1 30 39 W15 24 1 02/29-14 38 7 1 30 39 W15 23 1 02/29-15 38 7 1 29 40 W14 22 1 02/29-16 38 7 1 29 41 W13 21 1 02/29-17 46 15 3 28 43 SW13 21 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERRY TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120226.BEARL.01/BOU