FNUS74 KLZK 261235 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CRABTREE RX...NPS BUFFALO NATIONAL RIVER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 635 AM CST SUN FEB 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ELEVATED WILD FIRE DANGER TODAY...DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...ELEVATED WINDS AND CONTINUE DRY FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT AGAIN PICK UP TODAY OVER GARLAND COUNTY AND BE SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS. ADDITIONALLY...AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE 30TH PERCENTILE OR A BIT LOWER...AND FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN QUITE LOW. WINDS WILL LOWER AFTER SUNSET. OTHERWISE...THE SOUTH WIND WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO THE 40 AND 50 PERCENT RANGE. THEN RAIN WILL ENTER THE FORECAST TUESDAY WITH A STORM SYSTEM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................40-35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH GUSTS TO 18 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............53 57 61 63 64 64 63 RH..............40 35 32 30 30 30 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 12 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 7 6 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 8 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 23 24 23 23 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT SOUTH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............60 56 53 51 50 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 RH..............36 43 49 53 58 61 66 69 72 75 77 81 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE SE E NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE SE E NE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.5 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 17 16 14 12 10 9 7 6 6 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT SOUTH WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............42 41 43 47 52 56 60 63 65 66 66 66 RH..............83 88 86 76 66 59 54 49 45 44 44 46 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN BREEDLOVE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120226.CRABT.01/LZK