FNUS74 KLZK 261252 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR OPTIMUS HF KV...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 652 AM CST SUN FEB 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ELEVATED WILD FIRE DANGER TODAY...DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...ELEVATED WINDS AND CONTINUE DRY FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT AGAIN PICK UP TODAY OVER STONE AND IZARD COUNTIES AND BE SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS. ADDITIONALLY...AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE FROM THE 30TH PERCENTILE TO THE MIDDLE 20 PERCENT...AND FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS REMAIN QUITE LOW. WINDS WILL LOWER AFTER SUNSET. OTHERWISE...THE SOUTH WIND WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO THE 40 AND 50 PERCENT RANGE. THEN RAIN WILL ENTER THE FORECAST TUESDAY WITH A STORM SYSTEM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 23 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............51 55 59 61 63 63 62 RH..............42 36 32 30 29 29 30 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 14 13 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 9 8 8 7 6 EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 13 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.25 28 28 28 26 25 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 54 51 48 47 45 44 42 42 41 40 39 RH..............34 41 47 52 56 60 64 68 70 73 76 78 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW TRANSP WIND SPD.23 21 20 17 15 13 10 8 7 6 5 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61. RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............38 38 39 43 48 52 55 58 60 61 61 60 RH..............80 82 77 66 55 48 42 39 37 36 37 38 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120226.OPTIM.01/LZK