FNUS74 KLZK 261352 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR PHASE III 9...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 752 AM CST SUN FEB 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED EAST OF ARKANSAS...WITH AN ELEVATED SOUTH WIND FLOW RETURNING TO THE AREA. A VERY DRY AIR MASS HAS BEEN IN PLACE ACROSS THE NATURAL STATE...BUT MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AND GUSTS OVER 20 MPH POSSIBLE. EVEN WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE EXPECTED TODAY...MIN RH VALUES DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT...POSSIBLY A BIT LOWER IN SOME SPOTS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS. A STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS AND MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY TO EARLY WEDNESDAY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEE MAINLY TUESDAY TO TUESDAY NIGHT. FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY... DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN. THEN THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 62. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............48 52 56 59 61 62 62 61 RH..............45 39 35 32 31 30 31 33 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 10 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.10 13 13 10 10 8 8 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 24 26 26 26 25 24 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 55 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 47 46 45 RH..............36 42 46 49 52 55 58 61 63 65 66 69 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW W W NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW W W NW N EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 20 17 15 14 13 12 10 8 7 6 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 44 46 49 53 56 59 61 62 63 63 63 RH..............71 74 73 66 60 55 51 48 46 45 45 46 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...KURT RADCLIFF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120226.PHASE.01/LZK