FNUS73 KPAH 251954 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR THORNY MT...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 154 PM CST SAT FEB 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CST ON FEBRUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST OVERNIGHT...AS BREEZY SOUTH WINDS RETURN. THIS WILL PROVIDE A WARM UP ON SUNDAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE QUAD STATE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT...DRY AND COOLER WEATHER WILL RETURN...BUT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 61. RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3700 LATE MORNING AND TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 26 TO 32 MPH. TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 59 59 57 RH..............36 36 36 40 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.2 2.8 2.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.32 31 30 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 49 46 44 42 41 RH..............45 56 65 70 73 73 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 4 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1300 700 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 25 S 17 S 7 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 4 4 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4300 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 47 57 61 RH..............73 56 42 39 20 FT WIND......NW 2G5 NE 2G10 E 4G10 E 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2200 4000 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 SE 5 E 10 E 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...PRESTON MABRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120226.THORN.01/PAH