FNUS75 KBOU 271319 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 619 AM MST MON FEB 27 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A TIGHT SOUTHWEST GRADIENT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH IS THE REASON FOR THE GUSTY WINDS TODAY. PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY WITH STRONG WESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING TUESDAY BEHIND THE TROUGH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17. MAX HUMIDITY........72%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....25. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 29-39 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33-44 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 48-68 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/27-06 47 0 0 11 43 SW10 17 2 1 SW51 198 SW14 2510 P 02/27-07 47 0 0 14 49 SW13 20 2 1 SW53 214 SW16 2999 P 02/27-08 47 0 0 17 54 SW14 22 2 1 SW54 230 SW17 3489 P 02/27-09 47 0 0 22 53 SW14 22 2 1 SW56 1440 SW23 40408 F 02/27-10 47 0 0 25 53 SW14 22 2 1 SW59 2649 SW29 77326 G 02/27-11 60 10 2 29 50 SW14 22 2 1 SW61 3858 SW35 114245 V 02/27-12 60 10 2 32 47 SW16 25 2 1 SW61 4186 SW36 130011 V 02/27-13 60 10 2 34 44 SW17 28 2 1 SW61 4514 SW37 145778 V 02/27-14 60 10 2 35 43 SW17 28 2 1 SW61 4842 SW38 161545 E 02/27-15 60 10 2 34 43 SW14 22 2 1 SW60 4523 SW35 137160 V 02/27-16 60 10 2 33 45 S 8 14 2 1 SW60 4205 SW30 112775 V 02/27-17 82 35 13 31 49 S 5 5 2 1 SW59 3886 SW26 88389 G 02/27-18 82 35 13 29 51 SW 5 5 2 1 SW59 2939 SW23 63846 G 02/27-19 82 35 13 27 54 SW 6 6 2 1 SW58 1992 SW20 39303 P 02/27-20 82 35 13 25 57 W 7 7 2 1 SW58 1046 SW16 14760 P 02/27-21 82 35 13 23 60 W 7 7 2 1 SW60 789 SW16 11023 P 02/27-22 82 35 13 22 62 W 7 7 2 1 SW62 533 SW15 7286 P 02/27-23 78 61 39 21 63 W 7 7 2 1 SW62 277 SW15 3549 P 02/28-00 78 61 39 20 66 W 7 7 2 1 SW56 264 SW15 3489 P 02/28-01 78 61 39 19 68 W 8 13 3 1 S48 252 SW16 3428 P 02/28-02 78 61 39 19 70 W 9 15 3 1 S40 239 SW16 3367 P 02/28-03 78 61 39 18 71 W 9 15 3 1 S35 283 SW18 4508 P 02/28-04 78 61 39 18 72 W10 17 3 1 S30 326 SW20 5650 P 02/28-05 95 60 38 18 70 W13 21 3 1 S28 369 SW21 6791 P 02/28-06 95 60 38 19 67 W16 26 3 1 S25 1497 W30 57789 F 02/28-07 95 60 38 18 64 W21 33 2 1 S24 2625 W40 108788 V 02/28-08 95 60 38 19 58 W26 43 2 1 S23 3753 W49 159786 E 02/28-09 95 60 38 20 54 W26 41 2 1 S22 4182 W47 168067 E 02/28-10 95 60 38 22 52 W24 39 2 1 S22 4611 W45 176348 E 02/28-11 95 80 68 23 50 W23 37 2 1 S22 5039 W43 184629 E 02/28-12 95 80 68 23 48 W24 39 2 1 SW22 5314 W46 216950 E 02/28-13 95 80 68 24 47 W28 44 2 1 W23 5589 W51 249270 E 02/28-14 95 80 68 24 46 W30 48 2 1 W26 5864 W55 281591 E 02/28-15 95 80 68 24 45 W32 51 2 1 W32 5662 W59 290105 E 02/28-16 95 80 68 23 46 W33 53 2 1 NW40 5461 W63 298619 E 02/28-17 70 60 38 22 48 W35 55 2 1 NW46 5259 W67 307134 E 02/28-18 70 60 38 21 49 W36 56 2 1 NW47 5038 W68 296429 E 02/28-19 70 60 38 20 49 W36 56 2 1 NW46 4817 W68 285724 E 02/28-20 70 60 38 19 50 W36 58 2 1 NW44 4596 W69 275019 E 02/28-21 70 60 38 18 51 W36 58 2 1 NW39 4410 W68 260704 E 02/28-22 70 60 38 18 51 W36 58 2 1 NW33 4224 W67 246389 E 02/28-23 50 20 4 17 51 W36 58 2 1 NW30 4038 W66 232074 E 02/29-00 50 20 4 17 52 W35 54 2 1 NW30 3800 W63 210049 E 02/29-01 50 20 4 16 52 W32 51 2 1 NW32 3563 W60 188023 E 02/29-02 50 20 4 16 52 W30 48 2 1 NW36 3326 W58 165998 E 02/29-03 50 20 4 16 51 W29 46 3 1 NW40 3076 W58 153433 E 02/29-04 50 20 4 16 50 W29 45 4 1 NW46 2825 W58 140869 V 02/29-05 24 0 0 16 49 W28 44 5 1 NW49 2574 W58 128305 V 02/29-06 24 0 0 16 50 W26 43 5 1 NW51 2437 W52 112040 V 02/29-07 24 0 0 18 49 W25 40 4 1 NW49 2300 W47 95775 G 02/29-08 24 0 0 20 47 W24 39 3 1 NW48 2162 W43 79510 G 02/29-09 24 0 0 22 45 W23 37 3 1 W47 2468 W40 86751 G 02/29-10 24 0 0 24 43 W22 35 3 1 W46 2773 W39 93992 G 02/29-11 36 0 0 26 42 W21 33 3 1 W46 3078 W38 101233 V 02/29-12 36 0 0 28 40 W21 32 3 1 W48 3281 W40 113900 V 02/29-13 36 0 0 29 39 W20 32 2 1 W52 3484 W41 126566 V 02/29-14 36 0 0 30 39 W20 31 2 1 W54 3686 W44 139233 V 02/29-15 36 0 0 30 39 W18 29 2 1 W58 3452 W43 128380 V 02/29-16 36 0 0 29 41 W17 26 2 1 W61 3218 W41 117527 V 02/29-17 38 20 4 27 44 W16 25 2 1 W62 2985 W41 106674 V 02/29-18 38 20 4 26 46 W17 26 2 1 W60 2793 W43 102590 V 02/29-19 38 20 4 25 49 W18 29 2 1 W56 2602 W44 98507 G 02/29-20 38 20 4 23 51 W20 31 2 1 W55 2411 W45 94423 G 02/29-21 38 20 4 22 53 W21 33 2 1 W58 2399 W47 98643 G 02/29-22 38 20 4 21 55 W22 35 2 1 W61 2388 W49 102862 V 02/29-23 25 40 18 21 56 W23 37 2 1 W64 2376 W52 107082 V 03/01-00 25 40 18 20 57 W24 39 2 1 SW64 2363 W54 111295 V 03/01-01 25 40 18 20 57 W26 41 2 1 SW63 2349 W56 115508 V 03/01-02 25 40 18 19 57 W26 43 2 1 SW63 2336 W59 119721 V 03/01-03 25 40 18 19 56 W25 39 2 1 SW67 2847 W58 140472 V 03/01-04 25 40 18 19 56 W22 36 2 1 W73 3358 W55 161224 E 03/01-05 54 27 7 19 56 W20 31 2 1 W78 3869 W54 181976 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERRY TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.BEARL.01/BOU