FNUS71 KCTP 271059 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR D-3 REGAL UNITLS...PA NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 559 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT...REACHING THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY TUESDAY MORNING. A TRAILING MOISTURE-STARVED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE DISTRICT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A BRIEF...LIGHT SHOWER ACROSS NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND WILL BOOST AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR 60 DEGREES. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND REMAIN GUSTY INTO TONIGHT. MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE LOW 30S...COMBINED WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND 10HR FINE FUELS FORECAST TO BE BELOW 10 PERCENT WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER/MARGINAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON. DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING MAY RESULT IN MINIMUM RH VALUES LOWER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST/BELOW 30 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............26 51 63 60 53 50 50 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................45 49 54 55 56 56 54 RH..................47 40 34 35 36 37 41 20 FT WIND DIR......S S SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD......7 9 10 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 25 25 25 25 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31. MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS 15 TO 25 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............49 49 45 37 30 22 14 13 13 13 15 15 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 49 47 45 43 41 39 36 36 35 34 34 RH..................46 51 52 53 55 56 57 58 59 59 59 59 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 10 10 10 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 25 20 20 20 15 15 15 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............15 11 5 4 4 3 3 2 8 34 34 40 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................33 32 33 36 38 41 43 45 48 48 46 45 RH..................60 60 62 57 52 48 44 40 38 39 42 46 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......9 8 10 12 13 12 10 9 8 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...STEINBUGL REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.D3REG.01/CTP