FNUS75 KGJT 271522
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STATION 113 PILES...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
822 AM MST MON FEB 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON FEBRUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING THE BURN
SITE TODAY AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE. THE SURFACE
WINDS WILL REACH UPWARDS OF 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. UPPER LEVEL
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY ALLOWING FOR GOOD MIXING
PROVIDING EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL BY 1 PM. RAIN OR A RAIN/SNOW
MIX IS EXPECTED LATER ON THIS EVENING AS THE SYSTEM GETS CLOSER
TO THE AREA.  THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO
TOMORROW.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 40 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...GARNER HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120227.STATI.01/GJT