FNUS73 KLSX 271433
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CLEAR CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
833 AM CST MON FEB 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 12 KTS TODAY IN SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON COUNTY
HOWEVER THE DIRECTION WILL VARY FROM NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS NORTH AT 2-3 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR
                    OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WIND 6 TO 8 MPH FROM MID MORNING UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND
                    6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AT IGNITION...2900 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (3613 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHEAST 1-2 MPH THEN EAST 1-2 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT
                    FACTOR OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHEAST WIND AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 6 MPH FROM
                    MID EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1300...THEN 16-25 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 2-4 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 22 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (4477 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...KANOFSKY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WOODS  DFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120227.CLEAR.01/LSX