FNUS73 KPAH 271444
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOSS ISLAND...ILLINOIS DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
844 AM CST MON FEB 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MORE CLOUDS BUT LOWER WINDS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES THEN
YESTERDAY AND CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY.
THE CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST ARE DUE TO A
WEAK DRY COLD FRONT MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA. BY LATE
TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY...CLOUDS WILL REALLY BE ON THE INCREASE
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE
ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...LINGERING ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SOME OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT COULD BE
SEVERE. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME QUITE BREEZY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY NIGHT.  ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............56  56  57  58  58  56  53
RH..............43  41  38  36  36  38  44
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   7   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  15  15  15  15  15  15
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............51     46     43     41     40     38
RH..............47     55     59     61     63     67
20 FT WIND......N 5    NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10                          10     10

$$
FORECASTER...HOOPER
REQUESTED BY...BOB LINDSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120227.BOSSI.01/PAH