FNUS73 KPAH 271412 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CAVE HOLLOW...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 812 AM CST MON FEB 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MORE CLOUDS BUT LOWER WINDS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES THEN YESTERDAY AND CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY. THE CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST ARE DUE TO A WEAK DRY COLD FRONT MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA. BY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY...CLOUDS WILL REALLY BE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...LINGERING ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT COULD BE SEVERE. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME QUITE BREEZY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 53 55 57 58 58 57 55 RH..............44 41 38 36 33 33 34 38 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 47 44 42 40 38 RH..............43 50 53 57 60 64 20 FT WIND......NE 4 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2500 2100 1700 1400 1300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 14 E 15 E 17 E 18 E 18 E 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...SARAH EGLY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.CAVEH.01/PAH