FNUS73 KPAH 271452 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR PIGEON CREEK...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 852 AM CST MON FEB 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MORE CLOUDS BUT LOWER WINDS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES THEN YESTERDAY AND CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY. THE CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST ARE DUE TO A WEAK DRY COLD FRONT MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA. BY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY...CLOUDS WILL REALLY BE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...LINGERING ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT COULD BE SEVERE. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME QUITE BREEZY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 52 54 55 56 56 54 52 RH..............45 43 42 38 35 35 37 43 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............50 45 42 40 38 37 RH..............46 53 60 62 63 64 20 FT WIND......N 5 NE 4 NE 4 NE 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1700 1400 1100 1000 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 NE 15 NE 16 E 17 E 17 E 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 43 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............36 44 55 60 RH..............67 58 50 58 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 6G10 SE 6G10 SE 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1600 2000 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..E 17 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 CWR.............0 0 40 40 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...RAY PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.PIGEO.01/PAH