FNUS73 KPAH 271334 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR STATE OF IL OPENLANDS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 734 AM CST MON FEB 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MORE CLOUDS BUT LOWER WINDS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES THEN YESTERDAY AND CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY. THE CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST ARE DUE TO A WEAK DRY COLD FRONT MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA. BY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY...CLOUDS WILL REALLY BE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...LINGERING ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT COULD BE SEVERE. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME QUITE BREEZY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS SHIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............49 51 52 53 54 55 55 53 50 RH..............46 42 40 39 37 35 35 38 44 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 44 42 40 38 37 RH..............46 52 58 60 64 68 20 FT WIND......N 5 NE 4 NE 4 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1700 1400 1100 1000 900 TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 NE 15 NE 15 E 16 E 16 E 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57. RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 48 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 25 TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY PCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............36 43 53 57 RH..............68 58 55 62 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 6G10 SE 6G10 SE 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1500 2000 2300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 16 SE 15 SE 15 SE 22 CWR.............0 0 50 50 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.STATE.01/PAH