FNUS73 KPAH 271251 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF MOUNTAIN...MTNF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 651 AM CST MON FEB 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...BUT THE MORE GUSTY WINDS WILL BE OFF TO YOUR EAST. MORE CLOUDS BUT LOWER WINDS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES THEN YESTERDAY AND CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY. THE CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST ARE DUE TO A WEAK DRY COLD FRONT MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA. BY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY...CLOUDS WILL REALLY BE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...LINGERING ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT COULD BE SEVERE. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME QUITE BREEZY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............55 56 56 57 59 59 58 56 RH..............46 46 46 44 41 40 42 44 20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 48 46 44 42 40 RH..............50 57 59 60 66 70 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1600 1300 1000 900 800 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 17 E 18 E 20 E 21 E 20 E 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 59 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............39 44 52 55 RH..............72 67 71 77 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5G10 SE 5G10 SE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1600 2200 2500 TRANSPORT WIND..E 16 SE 12 SE 9 SE 16 CWR.............30 30 60 60 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...YEOMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.WOLFM.01/PAH