FNUS73 KSGF 271225 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR CARMEN SPRINGS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 625 AM CST MON FEB 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT HAS EXITED THE AREA TO THE SOUTHEAST. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHEAST THIS MORNING. AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR LATE FEBRUARY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 54 58 57 RH..............50 43 36 36 20 FT WIND......N 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1300 2200 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 16 NE 16 NE 16 E 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 38. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 71 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 47 43 40 39 38 RH..............44 51 58 64 67 69 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 1400 600 500 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..E 16 E 18 E 21 E 23 SE 23 SE 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 57. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 69 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............39 42 46 50 52 54 RH..............71 70 69 71 74 79 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 500 600 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 17 SE 16 SE 16 SE 18 S 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 70 70 70 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 50. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28 TO 49 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 57 58 59 60 60 54 55 59 62 62 60 RH..............83 81 82 81 77 71 78 64 47 37 32 34 20 FT WIND......SE 7 S 6 S 6 S 7 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 W 9 W 10 W 12 W 14 W 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 25 25 30 25 MIX HGT (FT)....600 600 600 600 600 1200 2000 1100 1400 3000 4500 4700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 28 S 36 SW 44 SW 49 SW 49 W 45 W 40 W 36 W 31 W 30 W 32 W 37 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 80 80 80 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...GAGAN REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.CARME.01/SGF