FNUS73 KSGF 271504 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR HERMITAGE UNIT 3...MO DEPT NATURAL RESOURCES NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 904 AM CST MON FEB 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS OF LESS THAN 10 MPH WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE REGION. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL DROP DOWN TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGHS WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST OF THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES ARE THEN EXPECTED TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46 AT IGNITION...MAX 53. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 28 MPH BECOMING EAST 12 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 50 53 50 RH..............45 37 34 39 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1700 2100 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 14 NE 12 E 13 E 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RH..............43 48 52 63 67 71 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1400 700 400 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..E 17 E 20 SE 23 SE 24 SE 24 SE 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 .TUESDAY... MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 61 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM RH..............71 66 62 61 62 66 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 20 20 .WEDNESDAY... MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 54 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM RH..............72 71 71 69 61 66 76 61 45 36 33 35 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 SW 10 SW 9 SW 7 W 10 W 12 W 14 W 14 W 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 15 25 30 30 30 25 $$ FORECASTER...WISE REQUESTED BY...LAURA HENDRICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.HERMI.01/SGF