FNUS75 KVEF 271036 FWSVEF SPOT FORECAST FOR LONE PINE AIRPORT UNIT...CAL FIRE, SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV 236 AM PST MON FEB 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TODAY IS A VERY DIFFICULT FORECAST DAY AND CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS IS VERY LOW. IT WAS RELATIVELY WARM AND QUITE DRY AT THE BURN SITE AT 2 AM...HOWEVER...LOW PRESSURE MOVING OVERHEAD TODAY WILL BRING A SURGE OF MOISTURE UP THE VALLEY PERHAPS AS EARLY AS THIS MORNING. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH COULD RESULT IN FALLING TEMPERATURES AND ERRATIC WIND SHIFTS. SOME OF THE HIGH RESOLUTION COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS REACHING THE BURN SITE TODAY...AND ALTHOUGH THIS SEEMS QUITE UNLIKELY...THERE IS STILL A SMALL CHANCE OF IT HAPPENING. MUCH QUIETER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TOMORROW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT WITH RISING HUMIDITY LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. 20 FT-10 MIN AVG..SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 10K FT WIND.......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....5 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 11 KNOTS. VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31. MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT. 20 FT-10 MIN AVG..NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. 10K FT WIND.......NORTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....2 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 17 KNOTS. VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT. 20 FT-10 MIN AVG..SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 10K FT WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 KNOTS. VENTILATION.........FAIR TO GOOD. $$ FORECASTER...MORGAN REQUESTED BY...F3507 BARLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120227.LONEP.02/VEF