FNUS75 KBOU 281200 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 452 AM MST TUE FEB 28 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STORM SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT BASIN EARLY THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY LIFT INTO NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO BY THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO NEBRASKA BY THIS EVENING. AS IT DOES...SNOW AND WIND WILL INCREASE. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS FROM 75 MPH TO 85 MPH POSSIBLE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-34. MIN HUMIDITY........32-36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN WEST WINDS INCREASING 26-41 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 48-68 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 4800-5600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD...BECOMING EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 2300. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-19. MAX HUMIDITY........47-52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 25-38 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 64-72 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2400. VERY GOOD AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-36. MIN HUMIDITY........32-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 27-42 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 49-64 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/28-04 88 40 18 21 63 SW12 18 2 1 SW55 284 SW15 3643 P 02/28-05 95 77 63 19 68 SW14 22 2 1 SW55 276 SW16 3782 P 02/28-06 95 77 63 19 69 SW16 25 2 1 SW48 684 SW23 18369 P 02/28-07 95 77 63 19 71 SW17 29 2 1 S38 1093 W30 32955 P 02/28-08 95 77 63 20 68 SW20 31 2 1 S28 1501 W37 47542 F 02/28-09 95 77 63 22 63 W22 35 2 1 S21 2623 W38 89965 G 02/28-10 95 77 63 25 56 W23 37 2 1 S16 3745 W40 132389 V 02/28-11 95 63 42 26 51 W25 40 2 1 SE13 4867 W41 174812 E 02/28-12 95 63 42 28 45 W28 45 2 1 S 8 5053 W45 197828 E 02/28-13 95 63 42 29 41 W31 49 3 1 SW 6 5240 W48 220845 E 02/28-14 95 63 42 30 38 W33 53 3 1 W 7 5427 W52 243862 E 02/28-15 95 63 42 29 37 W35 56 3 1 W14 5504 W58 275818 E 02/28-16 95 63 42 29 36 W36 58 2 1 W24 5582 W63 307774 E 02/28-17 69 44 21 26 37 W36 58 2 1 W33 5659 W69 339731 E 02/28-18 69 44 21 25 39 W35 55 2 1 W37 5474 W69 327529 E 02/28-19 69 44 21 23 42 W33 53 2 1 W39 5288 W69 315326 E 02/28-20 69 44 21 21 44 W31 49 2 1 W44 5103 W68 303124 E 02/28-21 69 44 21 20 43 W29 46 2 1 W53 4990 W68 294310 E 02/28-22 69 44 21 19 44 W26 44 2 1 NW64 4877 W68 285496 E 02/28-23 45 10 2 18 43 W26 43 2 1 NW73 4763 W67 276682 E 02/29-00 45 10 2 17 43 W29 46 2 1 NW75 4244 W68 249796 E 02/29-01 45 10 2 17 45 W32 51 3 1 NW74 3725 W69 222909 E 02/29-02 45 10 2 16 45 W35 55 3 1 NW71 3206 W70 196023 E 02/29-03 45 10 2 16 45 W35 56 3 1 NW69 2960 W69 177130 E 02/29-04 45 10 2 16 44 W35 55 3 1 NW67 2714 W67 158237 E 02/29-05 24 0 0 16 43 W35 55 3 1 NW64 2502 W66 141610 V 02/29-06 24 0 0 17 46 W36 58 3 1 W63 2418 W64 136512 V 02/29-07 24 0 0 18 47 W37 58 3 1 W61 2334 W64 131414 V 02/29-08 24 0 0 20 45 W36 58 3 1 W60 2250 W64 126316 V 02/29-09 24 0 0 23 43 W33 53 3 1 W58 2684 W62 142442 V 02/29-10 24 0 0 26 41 W30 47 2 1 W55 3118 W59 158567 E 02/29-11 21 0 0 28 38 W26 43 2 1 W55 3552 W56 174692 E 02/29-12 21 0 0 30 37 W24 38 2 1 W58 3941 W55 187286 E 02/29-13 21 0 0 31 35 W22 36 2 1 W61 4330 W53 199880 E 02/29-14 21 0 0 32 35 W21 33 2 1 W63 4719 W52 212474 E 02/29-15 21 0 0 32 36 W21 32 2 1 W61 4410 W52 199823 E 02/29-16 21 0 0 31 38 W21 32 2 1 W58 4101 W53 187172 E 02/29-17 33 20 4 29 41 W21 33 2 1 W55 3792 W53 174522 E 02/29-18 33 20 4 28 43 W21 33 2 1 W56 3496 W52 158677 E 02/29-19 33 20 4 26 46 W22 35 2 1 W58 3200 W52 142832 V 02/29-20 33 20 4 24 49 W22 35 2 1 W60 2903 W51 126987 V 02/29-21 33 20 4 23 52 W23 36 2 1 W62 2826 W51 124165 V 02/29-22 33 20 4 22 54 W23 38 2 1 W63 2748 W51 121343 V 02/29-23 44 60 38 21 56 W24 39 2 1 SW64 2670 W51 118522 V 03/01-00 44 60 38 20 57 W25 40 2 1 SW64 2760 W53 126215 V 03/01-01 44 60 38 19 57 W25 41 2 1 SW63 2849 W54 133908 V 03/01-02 44 60 38 19 57 W25 40 2 1 SW64 2938 W55 141602 V 03/01-03 44 60 38 19 57 W23 37 2 1 W68 3270 W53 147251 V 03/01-04 44 60 38 19 57 W21 33 2 1 W74 3603 W49 152900 E 03/01-05 58 70 53 19 57 SW18 30 2 1 W78 3935 W46 158549 E 03/01-06 58 70 53 19 57 SW18 29 2 1 W78 4128 W46 164500 E 03/01-07 58 70 53 19 59 W18 30 2 1 W77 4322 W45 170452 E 03/01-08 58 70 53 20 57 W20 31 2 1 W75 4515 W45 176403 E 03/01-09 58 70 53 22 55 W20 31 2 1 W74 4946 W43 182355 E 03/01-10 58 70 53 23 53 W20 31 2 1 W71 5378 W40 188308 E 03/01-11 84 70 53 24 51 W18 30 2 1 W69 5810 W38 194261 E 03/01-12 84 70 53 25 49 W17 28 2 1 W68 6455 W38 212181 E 03/01-13 84 70 53 25 47 W16 25 2 1 W68 7099 W37 230101 E 03/01-14 84 70 53 25 46 W15 24 2 1 W67 7743 W37 248020 E 03/01-15 84 70 53 25 46 W14 23 2 1 W64 7648 W37 247970 E 03/01-16 84 70 53 24 47 W14 22 2 1 W63 7553 W38 247919 E 03/01-17 84 70 53 22 50 W13 21 2 1 W62 7457 W38 247868 E 03/01-18 84 70 53 21 52 W12 12 2 1 W64 7310 W36 226147 E 03/01-19 84 70 53 19 55 W 9 9 2 1 W67 7164 W32 204427 E 03/01-20 84 70 53 18 58 W 8 8 2 1 W68 7017 W30 182706 E 03/01-21 84 70 53 16 61 W 8 8 2 1 W66 6982 W28 169033 E 03/01-22 84 70 53 15 63 W 8 8 2 1 W61 6948 W25 155361 E 03/01-23 84 60 38 15 64 W 9 9 2 1 W56 6914 W23 141689 V 03/02-00 84 60 38 14 64 W10 10 2 1 W53 7056 W25 158341 E 03/02-01 84 60 38 14 63 W12 18 2 1 W51 7198 W28 174993 E 03/02-02 84 60 38 13 63 W13 21 2 1 W48 7340 W30 191645 E 03/02-03 84 60 38 13 62 W14 22 2 1 W47 7720 W32 218056 E 03/02-04 84 60 38 13 60 W14 22 2 1 W46 8101 W35 244466 E 03/02-05 57 35 13 13 59 W14 22 2 1 W46 8482 W37 270876 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERRY TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120228.BEARL.01/BOU