FNUS75 KGJT 281726
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CANY NP PILES...NPS _ MESA VERDE NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1026 AM MST TUE FEB 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FIRST COLD FRONT PASSED THIS TUESDAY MORNING. A
SECOND PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS ON THURSDAY. IN
BETWEEN...THE FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
THERE IS MARGINAL INSTABILITY ALLOWING FOR MIXING UP TO 5000 FT
AGL AND EXCELLENT AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
                    BEFORE NOON.
CLEARING INDEX......700 AT 1100...INCREASING TO 1000+ IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......MAX OF 1000+.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120228.CANYN.01/GJT