FNUS73 KJKL 281007 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR CURD GARDEN...DBNF DISPATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 507 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH HEAT AND DRY AIR TO DROP THE MIN RH TO THE LOW 30S TODAY. AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH TODAY...THE WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING FROM THE EAST AND THEN TO THE SOUTH. THE ONE LIMITING FACTOR TODAY MAY BE THE WINDS AS THEY WILL BE PRETTY LIGHT AND MAY LIMIT THE DISPERSION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....68. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........25 35 42 52 69 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 57 63 66 65 RH..............55 41 36 37 44 20 FT WIND......E 3 SE 5 S 6 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH LATE. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE AT NIGHT. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE AT NIGHT. POP.................90 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0500...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........74 81 87 98 99 99 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 61 60 59 58 57 RH..............48 57 65 72 75 81 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 5 S 7 S 9 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EARLY EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. POP.................100 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....119. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 99 97 96 90 82 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............56 59 63 66 67 66 RH..............89 83 75 69 66 67 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 14 SW 15 SW 15 SW 14 SW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 30 30 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...JACOBSON REQUESTED BY...CHRIS OWENS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120228.CURDG.01/JKL