FNUS73 KJKL 281428 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS RD CAMP...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 928 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE INVERSION WILL HOLD ON UNTIL AROUND 11 AM. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE MORNING...AND THEN BECOME SOUTHERLY IN THE AFTERNOON AT 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 30 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE. A CHANGE IN WEATHER IS ON THE WAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND THEN A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH HEAT AND DRY AIR TO DROP THE MIN RH TO THE LOW 30S TODAY. THE FRONTS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS ON WEDNESDAY MAY BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS. THE WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE GUSTING TO 30 MPH OUTSIDE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT IGNITION...THEN BECOMING BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....63. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........29 41 49 57 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 59 63 63 RH..............55 45 42 45 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 7 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 51. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. POP.................90 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0500...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........74 80 85 95 96 98 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 58 56 55 53 53 RH..............55 61 67 74 77 82 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 7 S 8 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 67. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. POP.................100 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1800...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....95. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 97 98 100 91 89 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 55 60 64 65 64 RH..............91 86 77 72 68 69 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 12 SW 14 SW 15 SW 15 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 30 30 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...GEOGERIAN REQUESTED BY...SASHA ERNST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120228.WILDE.01/JKL