FNUS74 KLZK 281348
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP OUACHITA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
748 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 CST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS TODAY AND A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND THROUGH THE STATE TONIGHT.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT. RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND THE BEST CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TONIGHT...AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON. THERE
IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS...ALONG WITH
ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE FRONT WILL NOT EXIT THE STATE UNTIL
WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A WEAK SYSTEM
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY FOR THE NEXT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                       22 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2200 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............56  58  61  63  64  65  66  66  66  65
RH..............66  68  70  70  68  67  67  70  73  73
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   8   10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  14  15  16  17  18  21  22  24  24
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  60  60  60  60  60  60  60

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...KURT RADCLIFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120228.CAMPO.01/LZK