FNUS72 KMHX 281227 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAVER RD...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 727 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY OFFSHORE THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD OVER THE AREA TODAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN OVER THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH BECOMING NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............21 13 12 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 59 59 57 RH..................51 45 51 55 20 FT WIND..........NE 10 NE 12 NE 7 NE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....18 17 10 10 LVORI...............1 1 1 2 ADI.................37 42 34 27 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............11 31 48 62 68 72 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 51 49 48 47 46 RH..................57 66 74 77 79 93 20 FT WIND..........E 6 E 6 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 LVORI...............2 3 3 4 4 6 ADI.................22 8 7 6 5 4 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 23 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............75 77 78 78 79 80 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC TEMP................45 48 60 66 67 67 RH..................100 93 72 68 73 75 20 FT WIND..........E 5 SE 6 SE 8 S 9 S 10 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 15 20 LVORI...............9 5 4 3 3 3 ADI.................2 5 12 22 27 27 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120228.SHAVE.01/MHX