FNUS71 KRNK 281114 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER CRAIGS CREEK...USDA-FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 614 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0610 EST ON FEBRUARY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THIS MORNING AND WEDGE SOUTH ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO QUICKLY TURN FROM NORTHWEST BACK TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON BUT REMAINING FAIRLY LIGHT. TEMPS WILL WARM TO THE MID- 50S TO LOW 60S BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING MAINLY INTO THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT WITH RAIN PUSHING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING WEDNESDAY WITH SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH. DRY WEATHER RETURNS BRIEFLY ON THURSDAY UNDER HIGH PRESSURE BEFORE YET ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM BRINGS BACK MORE WET WEATHER WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING LATER FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL THIS MORNING WITH HIGH OVERHEAD... RISING TO 1900-2100 FT AGL BY LATE AFTERNOON AS HIGH SLIDES EAST. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............1 18 23 29 36 45 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................35 36 42 49 53 53 RH..................67 65 52 39 34 37 20 FT WIND..........N 5 W 1 S 1 S 3 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........400 400 400 1100 1800 2100 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............54 63 71 79 86 92 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 49 48 47 46 45 RH..................43 46 55 58 60 65 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1000 400 400 300 300 300 CWR.................0 10 10 10 30 60 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 35 TO 43 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 33 TO 36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............97 98 99 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC TEMP................44 44 48 50 52 53 RH..................78 87 86 88 88 88 20 FT WIND..........S 8 S 9 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 20 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........300 400 800 800 600 300 CWR.................80 80 80 80 80 70 $$ FORECASTER...FILLO REQUESTED BY...DAVE BOSTIC TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120228.UPPER.02/RNK