FNUS73 KAPX 282148 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR SLEEPING BEAR 2...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 448 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 EST ON FEBRUARY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WILL DEEPEN AND LIFT INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST TONIGHT...BEFORE MOVING THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO LIGHTER MIXED PRECIPITATION BY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TO THE PRECIPITATION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN FOR MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW LATE IN THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100). TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........98 100 100 99 98 98 97 96 97 97 98 99 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN SN TEMP............35 34 33 32 32 32 32 32 32 33 33 33 RH..............72 72 75 78 78 78 78 81 81 78 82 82 20 FT WIND DIR..SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 11 12 14 16 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 100 100 100 100 200 200 200 200 300 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW IN THE MORNING. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........32 AT IGNITION...MAX 37. RH..................88 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 20 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 29 TO 38 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 24 TO 32 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1200-1800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (700). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........99 100 100 99 99 100 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW FZRAIN FZRAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............32 32 33 35 37 37 RH..............85 88 89 85 82 85 20 FT WIND......E 17 E 18 E 18 SE 17 SE 15 SE 12 20 FT WIND GUST.30 35 35 30 30 25 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......400 500 700 700 600 500 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM REQUESTED BY...NATE ORSBURN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120229.SLEEP.01/APX