FNUS71 KAKQ 011815 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT L...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 115 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BREEZY WEST WINDS WILL MIX DRIER AIR TO THE SURFACE AND LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INTO THE UPPER 20S/LOW 30S THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SKIES CLEAR OVERNIGHT AND ALLOW FOR DECENT RH RECOVERIES UNDER SURFACE INVERSIONS. A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION. THE NEXT COLD FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES THE MID ATLANTIC STATES SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION LIKELY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 73. MIN HUMIDITY........29 TO 33 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 28 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............0 3 5 8 8 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 70 71 69 64 RH..................35 33 30 33 41 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.9 5.0 5.1 5.3 3.8 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD......14 14 13 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 25 25 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....28 28 26 24 20 VRATE KT-FT/1000....116 118 118 111 64 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................84 85 82 76 26 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....38 TO 41. MAX HUMIDITY........70 TO 75 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...BECOMING 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............7 7 6 5 4 2 1 0 3 6 8 11 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................59 54 53 51 49 48 46 44 43 43 42 41 RH..................47 57 57 61 63 63 65 68 70 67 70 73 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N NE 20 FT WIND SPD......9 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW N N N N N N N N N N NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 5 3 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/1000....28 6 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 LVORI...............1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 ADI.................9 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1500-1800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E E SE SE SE S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....2 3 3 5 6 8 9 12 14 16 17 16 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 2 4 8 11 14 18 20 20 19 13 LVORI...............4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................1 1 2 2 11 16 21 26 29 26 25 19 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 FORECASTER...DEROSA REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120301.UNITL.01/AKQ