FNUS73 KDMX 011850 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR NURSERY PRAIRIE...IOWA DNR-USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1250 PM CST THU MAR 1 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CST ON MARCH 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... LOW STRATUS DECK SLOWLY MOVING EAST AS A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS STREAMING IN FROM THE WEST. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SKIRT ACROSS MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND MAY BRING A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...WINDS LOOK TO REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IF THE WINDS WERE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A DIRECTION THEY WOULD BE FROM THE EAST. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 9 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (17000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........62 63 64 66 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............44 45 44 44 RH..............60 60 62 65 20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 6 EYE LVL WND GST. 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.0 1.8 MIXNG WIND DIR..SE E E E MIXNG WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........66 74 84 92 94 98 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSN RNSN RNSN RNSN RNSN RNSN TSTM COV........ TEMP............42 39 37 36 35 34 RH..............73 79 82 82 82 82 20 FT WIND......E 8 E 8 NE 8 NE 8 N 9 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6 E 6 NE 6 NE 6 N 6 N 7 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1000 700 700 400 400 MIXNG WIND......E 9 NE 8 NE 7 NE 8 N 9 N 9 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (40900 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........100 92 84 64 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....SNOW RNSN NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............33 33 35 37 RH..............78 85 78 72 20 FT WIND......N 10G15 N 14G20 NW 16G20 NW 15G20 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 7G15 N 10G20 NW 11G20 NW 11G20 MIX HGT (FT)....600 1300 1400 2200 MIXNG WIND......N 12 N 16 N 20 NW 22 HAINES INDEX....4 3 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...PODRAZIK REQUESTED BY...RYAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120301.NURSE.01/DMX