FNUS75 KGJT 010556
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE MOUNTAIN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1056 PM MST WED FEB 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON MARCH 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAKENING SURFACE FRONT WILL BE PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION THIS
MORNING AND TURNING SOUTHERLY WINDS MORE TO THE WEST AS IT
PUSHES THROUGH. SHOWERS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WITH AND BEHIND
THIS FRONT...WHICH WILL WILL HELP WITH MIXING THIS AFTERNOON
AS SMOKE DISPERSAL LOOKS TO REACH THE EXCELLENT CATEGORY.
WINDS WILL BECOME MORE TERRAIN DRIVEN AFTER SUNSET WITH SHOWERS
REMAINING IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE. ANOTHER PIECE OF
THE STORM WILL SWING THROUGH THE 4 CORNERS LATE TONIGHT WHICH
WILL ALLOW A SECONDARY FRONT TO PUSH THROUGH WESTERN COLORADO WITH
NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE
REGION. STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL KEEP VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE
DISPERSAL IN THE FORECAST.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH WINDS AROUND
                    5 MPH BY 0900 THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 16
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-17 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR AROUND SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...SAM DEARSTYNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120301.FIREM.01/GJT