FNUS73 KLSX 011517
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMDEN HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
917 AM CST THU MAR 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON MARCH 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT TODAY
ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER THE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN THEY
WERE YESTERDAY....THOUGH THERE WILL STILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL BE LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 4 TO 6 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .5
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH 7
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...3200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (9128 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 4 TO 5 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .5
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 1300...THEN NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE MID-LATE AFTERNOON.
                    ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .5
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 7 TO 12 MPH UNTIL LATE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO 14
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 14 TO
                    15 MPH DURING MID AND LATE AFTERNOON SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 32 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (27228 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120301.CAMDE.01/LSX