FNUS74 KLZK 011627 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CHASTAIN WILDFIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1027 AM CST THU MAR 1 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1020 CST ON MARCH 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AT THE BURN SITE TODAY...EXPECT CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY SOUTH WINDS THROUGHOUT. AFTER STARTING OFF AS LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY...THE WINDS WILL PICK UP LATE THIS MORNING AND RANGE BETWEEN 8-12 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH BY NOON WITH THE DIRECTION CHANGING SLIGHTLY TO DUE SOUTH OR POSSIBLY EVEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO OR ABOVE 20 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM NOON ON THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL DECREASE TO NEAR 20 PERCENT BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON BEFORE INCREASING BACK TOWARD 50 PERCENT BY 8 PM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........63 AT REQUEST...MAX 74. RH..................30 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 20 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 32 TO 39 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY FRI MORNING. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TEMP............63 66 69 72 74 74 74 72 RH..............30 27 25 23 21 20 22 27 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 14 15 15 15 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 25 30 30 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 8 9 9 9 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.8 10 10 13 15 15 13 13 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.23 26 29 32 35 37 39 40 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 31 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 30 TO 38 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 41 TO 44 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............68 65 64 63 62 62 61 60 60 59 59 58 RH..............27 42 47 51 56 61 66 70 74 79 83 88 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.40 39 37 35 32 31 30 32 35 38 41 44 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69. RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 35 TO 44 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............58 58 60 61 63 64 66 67 67 67 66 64 RH..............92 90 86 81 67 55 46 40 36 32 32 33 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 14 15 15 15 14 15 15 15 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 30 30 25 25 30 30 30 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 15 15 13 13 15 15 15 13 13 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.44 43 39 35 30 25 22 20 18 17 16 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...R SIMPSON REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN BREEDLOVE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120301.CHAST.01/LZK