FNUS74 KTSA 011052 FWSTSA FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SR SOUTHEAST...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 452 AM CST THU MAR 1 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY ACROSS THE AREA MOVES TO THE EAST. WIND GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE 25 TO 30 MPH RANGE. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY...BUT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STILL BE NEAR 35 PERCENT DUE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. WINDS WILL DIMINISH NEAR SUNSET. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO GUARANTEE PRECIPITATION. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE BURN SITE BY MID AFTERNOON TOMORROW...SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 600-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............52 57 62 66 68 69 70 69 DEWPT...........31 34 36 38 39 41 43 45 RH..............45 41 38 36 34 35 38 42 20FT WIND DIR...SE SE S S S S S S 20FT SPD (MPH)..9 11 14 14 14 14 13 10 20FT GUST(MPH)..20 25 30 30 30 30 25 25 CLOUDS (%)......7 7 7 9 11 14 16 18 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... MIXHGT/100(FT)..013 018 023 030 037 041 039 035 TR WIND DIR.....SE S S S S S S S TR WIND SPD(MPH)18 21 22 24 25 26 28 28 STABILITY.......C C C C C D E E 1700FT MIX T (F)60 60 62 64 67 69 69 68 VENT/1000(M 3/S)003 005 007 010 013 015 015 013 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 17 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............56 55 56 58 60 62 63 65 65 66 66 65 DEWPT...........56 55 56 54 49 45 40 39 39 38 36 34 RH..............100 100 100 86 67 53 43 40 38 36 33 31 20FT WIND DIR...S SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW 20FT SPD (MPH)..13 13 12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 20FT GUST(MPH)..25 25 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CLOUDS (%)......62 57 52 48 43 38 34 37 40 44 47 51 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..012 015 019 024 029 035 039 041 041 041 041 040 TR WIND DIR.....S SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW TR WIND SPD(MPH)22 24 25 28 30 31 31 30 29 28 25 24 STABILITY.......E D D D C C C C D D D E 1700FT MIX T (F)71 71 70 69 67 65 63 64 65 66 65 63 VENT/1000(M 3/S)004 005 006 009 012 015 016 017 016 016 014 013 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH. .MONDAY... CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...HATFIELD REQUESTED BY...DEBORAH PALMER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120301.SRSOU.01/TSA