FNUS74 KLIX 021310 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO 1251...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 710 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID-MORNING AS AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MIDWEST INTERACTS WITH A PERSISTENT SURFACE HIGH OVER FLORIDA. WINDS WILL EASILY GUST TO 25 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. THERE WILL BE A RISK OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON... BUT THE HIGHEST THREATS FOR HEAVY RAINFAL...LIGHTNING...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AROUND 3-4 AM. THE RISK OF FOG FORMATION WILL BE LOW TONIGHT DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER...LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...WITH CEILINGS DROPPING TO AROUND 300-500 FEET. THIS COULD ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG BEFORE MIDNIGHT. FOG CHANCES WILL BE BASICALLY ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT DUE TO THE FRONT APPROACHING AND EXPECTED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. .TODAY... TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........65 65 75 75 75 99 99 99 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............73 75 77 77 78 77 76 74 RH..............79 74 67 67 64 67 66 71 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.4 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 25 25 25 25 25 25 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 11 11 11 11 11 11 DISPERSION......22 31 67 67 67 65 65 65 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 72 70 69 68 67 RH..............73 79 87 87 84 81 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 7 S 7 SW 8 W 7 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1600 1400 1400 1400 1800 MIX HGT (M).....490 490 430 430 430 550 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 20 SW 18 SW 16 SW 16 SW 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 9 S 9 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 DISPERSION......33 33 29 18 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 .SATURDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 99 99 92 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE TEMP............64 62 62 64 64 63 RH..............84 81 70 56 50 46 20 FT WIND......N 7 N 9 N 10 N 10 N 10 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2100 2400 2400 2800 MIX HGT (M).....700 700 640 730 730 850 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 NW 10 NE 21 N 22 N 22 N 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 4 NW 4 NE 9 N 10 N 10 N 10 DISPERSION......14 14 28 46 46 53 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 $$ FORECASTER...GRIGSBY REQUESTED BY...EDDIE BAGGETT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120302.DESOT.01/LIX