FNUS72 KMHX 021154 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLSTON CREEK ROAD...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 654 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE THIS MORNING THEN MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SUNDAY AND REMAIN IN PLACE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............61 67 70 71 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTM TSTM TSTM TSTM TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................62 67 70 70 RH..................75 65 63 68 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 6 S 7 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 LVORI...............4 3 2 3 ADI.................4 14 18 22 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............60 64 64 67 70 78 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE S CHC S CHC TEMP................67 65 64 63 62 61 RH..................73 78 84 87 93 93 20 FT WIND..........S 10 S 10 S 11 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 20 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 5 5 ADI.................18 21 21 17 16 16 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 8 TO 10 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH LATE. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............87 92 99 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................61 64 66 68 67 65 RH..................97 91 91 82 79 80 20 FT WIND..........SW 12 SW 14 SW 15 SW 18 SW 16 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 25 30 25 15 LVORI...............5 5 3 3 3 3 ADI.................16 16 17 40 48 40 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 2 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...CROATAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120302.HOLST.01/MHX