FNUS75 KBOU 031113 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 406 AM MST SAT MAR 3 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRY AND MORE STABLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. STRONG GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL BY THIS AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-28. MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS AROUND 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-20. MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 22-32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2300...THEN POOR UNTIL 0500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-38. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 41-52 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/03-04 69 25 5 6 58 W28 45 2 1 N75 1969 W33 58038 F 03/03-05 72 25 5 5 61 W30 48 2 1 N79 1787 W33 51721 F 03/03-06 72 25 5 6 63 W32 51 2 1 N82 1710 W32 48761 F 03/03-07 72 25 5 7 64 W32 53 2 1 N84 1633 W32 45800 F 03/03-08 72 25 5 9 62 W32 52 2 1 N86 1557 W32 42839 F 03/03-09 72 25 5 13 54 W29 47 2 1 N90 2657 W33 82702 G 03/03-10 72 25 5 18 47 W25 40 2 1 N92 3757 NW36 122564 V 03/03-11 67 16 3 21 44 W22 35 2 1 N93 4857 NW38 162426 E 03/03-12 67 16 3 25 38 W22 35 2 1 N92 4923 NW38 164243 E 03/03-13 67 16 3 27 37 W22 36 2 1 N89 4989 NW38 166061 E 03/03-14 67 16 3 27 37 W23 37 2 1 N84 5055 NW38 167878 E 03/03-15 67 16 3 27 39 W23 37 2 1 N81 4529 NW37 145187 V 03/03-16 67 16 3 27 40 W23 38 2 1 N78 4004 W35 122496 V 03/03-17 41 10 2 26 42 W24 39 2 1 N75 3479 W33 99806 G 03/03-18 41 10 2 25 43 W25 41 2 1 N73 3096 W32 87526 G 03/03-19 41 10 2 24 45 W28 44 2 1 NW70 2714 W32 75247 G 03/03-20 41 10 2 23 46 W29 46 2 1 NW68 2331 W31 62967 G 03/03-21 41 10 2 22 47 W29 47 2 1 NW64 2101 W30 55626 F 03/03-22 41 10 2 22 47 W29 46 2 1 NW62 1871 W30 48285 F 03/03-23 34 10 2 21 48 W29 46 2 1 NW60 1641 W29 40944 F 03/04-00 34 10 2 20 50 W29 46 2 1 NW60 1564 W28 38379 P 03/04-01 34 10 2 20 51 W29 45 2 1 NW59 1486 W28 35815 P 03/04-02 34 10 2 20 51 W28 44 2 1 NW59 1409 W28 33250 P 03/04-03 34 10 2 20 52 W26 43 2 1 NW59 1358 W26 31355 P 03/04-04 34 10 2 20 53 W25 41 2 1 NW58 1308 W25 29460 P 03/04-05 39 0 0 20 55 W24 39 2 1 NW37 1705 W46 68724 G 03/04-06 39 0 0 23 53 W22 35 3 1 NW38 1888 W46 75881 G 03/04-07 39 0 0 24 56 W20 31 4 1 NW38 2070 W46 83039 G 03/04-08 39 0 0 25 56 W18 30 5 1 NW38 2253 W46 90196 G 03/04-09 39 0 0 28 54 W18 29 5 1 NW39 2552 W45 98587 G 03/04-10 39 0 0 31 49 W18 30 5 1 NW39 2851 NW44 106978 V 03/04-11 26 0 0 34 46 W20 31 5 1 N39 3150 NW43 115369 V 03/04-12 26 0 0 36 44 W20 32 5 1 NW36 3257 NW39 109285 V 03/04-13 26 0 0 37 42 W20 32 5 1 NW33 3364 NW36 103200 V 03/04-14 26 0 0 37 41 W20 31 5 1 NW32 3471 NW32 97115 G 03/04-15 26 0 0 37 40 W18 29 5 1 NW35 3332 NW30 88571 G 03/04-16 26 0 0 37 39 W16 26 5 1 NW38 3193 NW29 80026 G 03/04-17 13 0 0 36 38 W15 24 5 1 NW40 3055 W26 71481 G 03/04-18 13 0 0 35 38 W14 22 5 1 NW38 2591 W25 58438 F 03/04-19 13 0 0 33 39 W13 21 5 1 NW35 2128 W24 45394 F 03/04-20 13 0 0 32 40 W13 21 5 1 NW32 1665 W22 32351 P 03/04-21 13 0 0 31 39 W13 20 5 1 NW31 1465 W22 27571 P 03/04-22 13 0 0 30 38 W12 18 5 1 NW30 1265 W21 22792 P 03/04-23 7 0 0 30 37 W12 18 5 1 W30 1066 W20 18012 P 03/05-00 7 0 0 30 36 W12 18 5 1 W30 1002 W21 18170 P 03/05-01 7 0 0 29 35 W12 20 5 1 W29 938 W23 18328 P 03/05-02 7 0 0 29 34 W13 21 5 1 W30 875 W24 18486 P 03/05-03 7 0 0 29 34 W14 23 5 1 W30 889 W28 21056 P 03/05-04 7 0 0 29 34 W16 25 5 1 W31 903 W30 23627 P 03/05-05 12 1 0 29 35 W17 28 5 1 W32 917 W33 26198 P 03/05-06 12 1 0 30 36 W17 29 4 1 W35 1096 W33 32001 P 03/05-07 12 1 0 30 39 W17 28 4 1 W37 1274 W35 37805 P 03/05-08 12 1 0 31 41 W17 26 3 1 W39 1453 W35 43608 F 03/05-09 12 1 0 33 41 W16 26 3 1 W40 2472 W37 84684 G 03/05-10 12 1 0 37 39 W16 25 4 1 NW40 3492 W40 125760 V 03/05-11 13 1 0 40 37 W16 25 4 1 NW40 4512 W43 166836 E 03/05-12 13 1 0 41 36 W16 26 4 1 NW39 4690 W45 182330 E 03/05-13 13 1 0 42 33 W17 28 4 1 NW38 4869 W46 197824 E 03/05-14 13 1 0 43 32 W18 30 4 1 W38 5048 W48 213318 E 03/05-15 13 1 0 43 30 W20 31 4 1 W41 4880 W49 211588 E 03/05-16 13 1 0 42 30 W20 31 4 1 NW45 4712 W52 209857 E 03/05-17 18 2 0 41 30 W20 32 4 1 NW48 4544 W53 208127 E 03/05-18 18 2 0 40 31 W20 31 4 1 W48 3673 W49 163339 E 03/05-19 18 2 0 37 33 W18 29 4 1 W47 2803 W47 118551 V 03/05-20 18 2 0 35 36 W17 28 4 1 W47 1932 W44 73763 G 03/05-21 18 2 0 33 38 W16 26 4 1 W48 1619 W40 59055 F 03/05-22 18 2 0 32 40 W16 25 4 1 W49 1305 W38 44347 F 03/05-23 18 3 1 30 42 W15 24 4 1 W49 992 W35 29640 P 03/06-00 18 3 1 29 45 W15 24 4 1 W51 887 W33 26141 P 03/06-01 18 3 1 27 47 W15 24 4 1 W49 781 W33 22642 P 03/06-02 18 3 1 26 49 W15 24 4 1 W48 675 W32 19144 P 03/06-03 18 3 1 25 49 W15 24 4 1 W45 618 W33 17955 P 03/06-04 18 3 1 25 50 W15 24 4 1 W41 560 W35 16767 P 03/06-05 26 3 1 25 50 W15 24 4 1 W37 503 W36 15579 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERRY TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120303.BEARL.01/BOU