FNUS71 KBGM 041511 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR KIRKWOOD...NYS DEC FOREST RANGERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY 1011 AM EST SUN MAR 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0946 EST ON MARCH 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. ALONG THIS FRONT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. OVERALL THE SNOW WILL BE LIGHT...BUT BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND UP TO AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 22 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 22 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (60500-89000 KNOT-FT). TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............88 86 89 92 93 92 90 91 WEATHER COV.........CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TSTM COV............ TEMP................31 31 31 29 29 29 28 28 RH..................63 63 61 66 63 58 58 58 20 FT WIND DIR......W W NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 15 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....89 89 89 61 61 61 81 81 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 12. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 26 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 26 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54800-81300 KNOT-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............96 96 88 84 82 80 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................26 22 19 17 15 13 RH..................62 68 74 77 77 80 20 FT WIND..........NW 7 NW 6 NW 7 NW 8 NW 8 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 2 2 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....81 55 69 69 65 55 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54100-81200 KNOT-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............71 61 40 35 34 35 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................12 13 17 20 22 22 RH..................80 70 56 43 37 36 20 FT WIND..........W 6 W 6 NW 7 NW 8 NW 9 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....55 54 63 63 74 81 $$ FORECASTER...HEDEN REQUESTED BY...SCOTT JACKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120304.KIRKW.01/BGM