FNUS73 KUNR 041522
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DETO PILES...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
822 AM MST SUN MAR 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
AS SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE AND BECOME MORE WESTERLY
THIS AFTERNOON. QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. ON MONDAY...WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT WILL LIMIT MIXING HEIGHTS...RESULTING IN POOR
SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 46.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 14 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE AND
                    GUSTY IN THE SHOWERS THIS MORNING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...JS
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MITCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120304.DETOP.01/UNR